Managing Uncertainty: Retail Rental Market Issues
The equipment rental market has been experiencing volatility and unpredictability over the past few years. However, the last few months of 2022 and the first months of 2023 brought about some much-needed stability in the heavy equipment rental market. The American Rental Association (ARA) forecasted 11% growth for the rental market in 2023, making it a year of steady growth for the industry.[1] But what are the trends so far this spring in the retail rental market for heavy equipment? Are equipment managers relying on renting equipment more than they have in the previous five years? If they are or are not, why?
Key Infrastructure Projects Lead to Increased Demand for Equipment Rental
The ARA predicts that demand will continue to be high enough to drive continued growth in 2023, though it will be at a much slower rate than in 2022. According to the ARA, supply, labor, and economic uncertainty will continue to be major challenges in 2023. While the rental market will experience growth, it will be slow but steady. This trend is in line with global trends, where the equipment rental market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.7% from 2021 to 2028.
The backlog for construction projects is at its highest level since the second quarter of 2019, leading contractors to have high optimism about the next six months, according to the Associated Builders and Contractors Construction Confidence Index.[2] The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act is expected to generate robust demand for the construction industry in the foreseeable future. Civil construction starts are expected to reach $281 billion in 2023, according to Dodge Construction Network.[3] Some states already saw surges in highway and bridge construction last year, notably Texas, South Carolina, and Florida.
As more projects pick up steam, spending may impact some areas more than others. For example, Tres Birds, an architect based in Denver, plans to build the tallest mass timber building starting in July 2023. In addition, another infrastructure project driving demand is a construction project in New Jersey that involves building a 2.4-mile bridge over the Hackensack River. The new bridge, which will replace an old swing bridge, is expected to be completed in late 2026 and will improve rail service in the northeast corridor. This project will increase the demand for rental road construction machinery in the Northeast.
[1] Equipment rental revenue poised to continue growth in 2023 and beyond (ararental.org)
[3] Sector watch: ‘A lot of money on the table’ for civil construction this year | Construction Dive
[4] U.S. housing market cooling as building permits tumble, starts fall | Reuters
[5] Florida immigration law could hurt state’s construction industry (therealdeal.com)
[6] https://www.hitachicm.com/global/en/news/press-releases/2023/23-2-28/
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